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2024-12-14 12:36:24

In the past, A-shares paid more attention to financing than investment, that is, they only paid attention to the interests of shareholders, but not to the interests of shareholders. The stock market only solved the financing problem of enterprises and the freedom of shareholders' wealth. Now, with more and more interests bound, its position is becoming more and more important, replacing the property market as a wealth reservoir, stimulating consumption in the bull market, and so on. Now that pensions enter the market, it is certain that the stock market will be expected to rise slowly to provide for the aged.The tax-excellent health insurance similar to personal pension is also in a similar situation, and the deposit amount is very small, because there are very few people who need to avoid tax, which is not the reason for the attractiveness of the product itself.Personal pension should be opened first, and then paid in. The step of tax deduction is realized after deposit. After deposit, you can buy deposits, wealth management, insurance and funds, or you can buy nothing. The fund is just one of them. Previously, funds were all FOF, and only a part of them would flow into the stock market. Recently, it will be extended to the broad-based index, and the proportion of inflows into the stock market will increase a little, just a little.


At the end of 1978, during the 46 years since the introduction of 401k personal pension in the United States, the Dow Jones index has increased 54 times, with an average annual increase of 9.54%; The Nasdaq rose 167 times, with an average annual increase of 11.79%.Personal pension was launched in 2022. At that time, it was widely predicted by brokers and the media that it could bring hundreds of billions of incremental funds every year to recharge A shares.


Although there is no direct causal relationship between the trend of US stocks and the entry of pensions into the market, it is obvious that it has provided a steady stream of incremental funds.At present, the scale of this incremental fund is still very small, but it is more meaningful to release the signal. Pensions are coming. Don't carry other funds. Come on!This news has two effects on the market. First, incremental funds enter the market and expand the conditions for incremental funds to enter the market. As long as there is new money and a steady stream of new money enters the market, there will be a market; Second, the strategic low position of the stock market has increased, and pensions have to enter the market. If the stock market is still so depressed and the coffin board is lost, it will be too ugly.

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